DNV GL forecasts gas to overtake oil demand as gas capital expenditure grows

DNV GL forecasts gas to overtake oil demand as gas capital expenditure grows
Published: 10 September 2018 - 4:45 a.m.
By: Carla Sertin

DNV GL's latest report, 2018 Energy Transition Outlook, predicts that gas will overtake oil as the world's primary energy source in 2026, and will account for 25 percent of the world's energy by 2050.

It also predicts that global oil demand will peak in 2023 while gas demand will continue growing until 2034.

“Gas will fuel the energy transition in the lead-up to mid-century. It sets a pathway for the increasing uptake of renewable energy, while safeguarding the secure supply of affordable energy that the world will need during the energy transition,” said Liv A. Hovem, CEO, DNV GL, Oil & Gas.

Conventional offshore and onshore gas production is expected to decline after 2030, while unconventional onshore gas is forecast to peak in 2040. DNV GL notes that this could "lead to leaner, more agile gas developments with shorter lifespans."

“Our forecast points to a faster, leaner and cleaner oil and gas industry in the future," said Hovem. "It’s time for our sector to enhance focus on developing the digital technologies that will enable quicker and more agile exploration and production, and the smooth integration of less carbon-intensive gases into the energy system."


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